Pre-Season Top 110 Rated Freshman in NCAA

Neutral Zone, the leading independent amateur hockey scouting service in North America, is pleased to release our Top 110 NCAA Freshman. While grading incoming recruiting classes is not a perfect science; Neutral Zone has tweaked and created a reliable, proven algorithm which determines recruiting class rankings based on historical data of how amateur prospects translate to college hockey. This algorithm takes account of a players age, what league they are coming from and most importantly their star rating.

“This list serves three main purposes; we first wanted to share with college hockey fans who the best upcoming freshman are; secondly, we wanted to run some analytics to assess trends in the data and lastly we wanted to have a list before the season so that we could compare/contrast at the end of the season as we have done in the past.”

We have categorized these players, not in order, but in A, B and C.  A’s are players ranked 5.0 stars; B’s are players Ranked 4.75-4.5 and C’s are ranked 4.25. We attached HM which means Honorable Mention for the bottom few who are highly talented and poised for big seasons but not quite 4.25 star rating.

 

Pre-Season Top 110 NCAA Freshman

Class Name School Star Rating DOB Prior League
A Oliver Wahlstrom Boston College 5 2000 NTDP
A Joel Farabee Boston University 5 2000 NTDP
A Ben Brinkman Minnesota 5 2000 MN HS
A Jonathan Tychonick North Dakota 5 2000 BCHL
A Mattias Samuelsson Western Michigan 5 2000 NTDP
B Ruslan Iskhakov UConn 4.75 2000 INTL
B Sampo Ranta Minnesota 4.75 2000 USHL
B J. Bernard-Docker North Dakota 4.75 2000 AJHL
B Emilio Pettersen Denver 4.75 2000 USHL
B Tyler Weiss Nebraska-Omaha 4.75 2000 NTDP
B Jake Wise Boston University 4.75 2000 NTDP
B K’Andre Miller Wisconsin 4.75 2000 NTDP
B Ty Emberson Wisconsin 4.75 2000 NTDP
B Jonny Gruden Miami (Ohio) 4.75 2000 NTDP
B Jay O’Brien Providence 4.75 1999 NE Prep
B Sam Walker Minnesota 4.75 1999 MN HS
B Jack Rathbone Harvard 4.75 1999 NE Prep
B Jack Dugan Providence 4.75 1998 USHL
B Jasper Weatherby North Dakota 4.75 1998 BCHL
B Filip Larsson Denver 4.75 1998 USHL
B Gavin Hain North Dakota 4.5 2000 NTDP
B Jacob Pivonka Notre Dame 4.5 2000 NTDP
B Stanislav Demin Denver 4.5 2000 BCHL
B Spencer Stastney Notre Dame 4.5 2000 NTDP
B Jack Drury Harvard 4.5 2000 USHL
B Peter Diliberatore Quinnipiac 4.5 2000 NE Prep
B Patrick Giles Boston College 4.5 2000 NTDP
B Christian Krygier Michigan State 4.5 2000 USHL
B Cole Krygier Michigan State 4.5 2000 USHL
B D. Koumontzis Arizona State 4.5 2000 MN HS
B Jordan Harris Northeastern 4.5 2000 NE Prep
B Curtis Hall Yale 4.5 2000 USHL
B Jack McBain Boston College 4.5 2000 OJHL
B Brett Stapley Denver 4.5 1999 BCHL
B Cole Guttman Denver 4.5 1999 USHL
B Jachym Kondelik UConn 4.5 1999 USHL
B Marc Del Gaizo UMass Amherst 4.5 1999 USHL
B Marc McLaughlin Boston College 4.5 1999 USHL
B Noah Cates Minnesota Duluth 4.5 1999 USHL
B Joshua Maniscalco Arizona State 4.5 1999 USHL
B Corey Andonovski Princeton 4.5 1999 BCHL
B Tyler Madden Northeastern 4.5 1999 USHL
B Robbie Stucker Minnesota 4.5 1998 USHL
B Mikael Hakkarainen Providence 4.5 1998 USHL
B Kale Howarth UConn 4.5 1998 BCHL
B Anthony Del Gaizo UMass Amherst 4.5 1998 USHL
B Ty Farmer UMass Amherst 4.5 1998 USHL
B Dennis Cesana Michigan State 4.5 1998 AJHL
B Nick Perbix St. Cloud 4.5 1998 USHL
B Chase Gresock Merrimack 4.5 1998 USHL
B J. Schmidt-Svejstrup Maine 4.5 1998 USHL
B Casey Dornbach Harvard 4.5 1997 USHL
B Jackson Cates Minnesota Duluth 4.5 1997 USHL
B Blake McLaughlin Minnesota 4.5 2000 USHL
C Wyllum Deveaux Harvard 4.25 2000 USHL
C Adam Samuelsson Boston College 4.25 2000 NTDP
C Drew DeRidder Michigan State 4.25 2000 NTDP
C Erik Middendorf Colorado College 4.25 2000 NTDP
C Jack Randl Michigan 4.25 2000 USHL
C Michael Callahan Providence 4.25 1999 USHL
C Tyce Thompson Providence 4.25 1999 USHL
C Alex Steeves Notre Dame 4.25 1999 USHL
C Graham Slaggert Notre Dame 4.25 1999 USHL
C Wyatt Bongiovanni Quinnipiac 4.25 1999 USHL
C Kamil Sadlocha Ohio State 4.25 1999 USHL
C Nate Knoepke Nebraska-Omaha 4.25 1999 USHL
C Mick Messner Wisconsin 4.25 1999 USHL
C Angus Crookshank New Hampshire 4.25 1999 BCHL
C Sam Hentges St. Cloud 4.25 1999 USHL
C Ben Copeland Colorado College 4.25 1999 USHL
C Adam Dawe Maine 4.25 1999 USHL
C John St. Ivany Yale 4.25 1999 USHL
C Graham Lillibridge Yale 4.25 1999 USHL
C Seth Barton Umass Lowell 4.25 1999 USHL
C Spencer Meier St. Cloud 4.25 1999 USHL
C Garrett Wait Minnesota 4.25 1998 USHL
C Nick Leivermann Notre Dame 4.25 1998 BCHL
C Carter Turnbull UConn 4.25 1998 BCHL
C Hugo Blixt Boston University 4.25 1998 USHL
C Joshua Dunne Clarkson 4.25 1998 USHL
C Brian Hurley Clarkson 4.25 1998 USHL
C Cole Gallant Western Michigan 4.25 1998 USHL
C Cole Koepke Minnesota Duluth 4.25 1998 USHL
C Ryan Verrier New Hampshire 4.25 1998 USHL
C Bryan Yoon Colorado College 4.25 1998 BCHL
C Grant Cruikshank Colorado College 4.25 1998 BCHL
C Carter Long Vermont 4.25 1998 USHL
C Cooper Zech Ferris State 4.25 1998 BCHL
C Trenton Bliss Michigan Tech 4.25 1998 USHL
C Gustaf Westlund Ohio State 4.25 1997 USHL
C AJ Vanderbeck Ohio State 4.25 1997 BCHL
C Julian Napravnik Minnesota State 4.25 1997 USHL
C Chris Van Os Shaw Minnesota State 4.25 1997 AJHL
C Grant Hebert Robert Morris 4.25 1997 USHL
C Owen Sillinger Bemidji State 4.25 1997 BCHL
C Quinn Preston Ohio State 4.25 1997 USHL
C Alec Broetzman Michigan Tech 4.25 1997 USHL
C Sean Comrie Denver 4.25 2000 AJHL
HM Ryan O’Connell Ohio State 4 1999 USHL
HM Samuel Morton Union 4 1999 BCHL
HM Jordan Timmons Uconn 4 1998 USHL
HM  Jack DeBoer Boston University 4 2000 NTDP
HM Colin Sowyer Michigan Tech 4 1998 USHL
HM Dominic Mersch Wisconsin 4 1998 USHL
HM Derek Daschke Miami (Ohio) 4 1998 USHL
HM Michael Regush Cornell 4 1998 USHL
HM Maxim Andreyev Cornell 4 1998 USHL
HM Reid Stefanson UMass Lowell 4 1997 USHL
    HM       Matthew Barry        Holy Cross              4    1997         USHL
    HM       Michael Ryan            Union              4    1997         BCHL

 

Analytics

We wanted to not only focus on the individual players but the leagues, the age groups and the star ratings to test for correlations and patterns in the data.

Star Rating Breakdown

Star Rate # of Players % of Players
5.0 5 5.2%
4.75 15 15.5%
4.5 33 34.0%
4.25 44 45.4%

The median star rating on the site is a 2.85 so these players listed in this report are the best of the best for NCAA prospects. There are only 5 prospects in the 5 star category; there are only 15 prospects in the 4.75 star category and then it jumps to 33 and 44 for 4.5 and 4.25 star players.

 

Star Ratings & Birth Years

Rate 2000 1999 1998 1997
5.0 100% 0% 0% 0%
4.75 60% 20% 20% 0%
4.5 39.4% 27.3% 27.3% 6.1%
4.25 13.6% 36.4% 31.8% 18.2%

There is a direct correlation between star rating and age. All of the 5 star prospects are 2000 birth years, the youngest age group among NCAA freshman. Also, 60% of 4.75 star prospects are also 2000’s and there are less no 4.75 star prospects at the 1997 birth year. The chart shows that the best freshman tend to be the youngest freshman and the older the player the less number of highly graded prospects. This isn’t surprising because only high level prospects are able to play college hockey at age 18; also, the 4.5, 4.75 and 5.0 star prospects are already in college, and some already in the NHL.

 

Star Ratings & Leagues

Rate NTDP USHL BCHL AJHL  Prep MNHS Other
5.0 60% 0% 20% 0% 0% 20% 0%
4.75 33.3% 26.7% 6.7% 6.7% 13.3% 6.7% 6.7%
4.5 12.1% 60.6% 12.1% 3.0% 6.1% 3.0% 3.0%
4.25 6.8% 70.5% 18.2% 4.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Last element of the analysis was to look at the league breakdown of where do the top prospects come from. It is clear that the USHL is the largest feeder league of these top 110 prospects; they account for 67% of all the players on the list. The second closest is the BCHL which accounts for 16%. NTDP, which isn’t technically a league but rather a team, accounts for 3 of the 5 top prospects and 9 of the top 15 4.75-star prospects. Lastly, somewhat impressive to see some top prospects and NHL Draft picks like Ben Brinkman, Jay O’Brien, Demetrios Koumontzis and Sam Walker who came right to NCAA out of high school and prep.

 

Photo Credit: Dan Hickling/Hickling Images